Hillary and Obama together: will the melting pot reach the White House?
Rumors of a possible merge between the Democrats’ candidates take placeFrom the chess pieces to the piano keys, ebony and ivory has proved to be a hell of a combination. Now, Earth’s most powerful nation is somehow flirting with the idea. But what are the real odds? And if it really comes about, how significant is it to the world’s political scenario?First, a quick view on the buzz: “That may be where this is headed.”, said Senator Hillary Clinton, for a CBS interview in early March, about their fusion assumption from supporters in Ohio. On the other end, Senator Barack Obama, Hillary’s opponent, responded securely: “I’m not running for vice-president.”. Plus, the other way round seems to have great rejection amongst Obama’s partisans.
The convention for the Democratic candidate’s nomination is held in August, 2008. The election itself, on November 04th. Right now, Obama enjoys a meager advantage in the numbers, but there’s still a lot to go from the primaries completion to the actual convention. Analysts pledge that having them together running for president and vice-president is just more of the same. They would be too much alike.
The point is Hillary and Barack do form an emblematic prospect for the Oval Office. Getting to elect either a woman or a black man as President is more than a challenge to Americans: it’s a message (and a very trendy one) that, maybe, the U.S. are willing to comply with a series of other meaningful issues and “hear the voices of the weak”.
The stiff backbone, that has characterized the country’s attitude throughout history, stands a chance to show a little bending and the world would appreciate it. Matters such as the environmental cause could finally become a really serious agenda in the White House. Minorities would own, for the first time ever, the one mighty job in the planet. Solely in case one of them actually wins the pot by the end of the year.
The idea pleases though. They have similar backgrounds: they’re both lawyers graduated from prestigious schools (Yale for Clinton and Harvard for Obama), the two began working for public affairs at an early age and have had expressive firsts in their careers: she was the first woman elected independently statewide in New York State and he was the first African American president of the Harvard Law Review. Favorable predictions for life?
By all means, it’s only speculation. However, the very thought of having such a kind of a ruler in Washington D.C. beats despair in favor of hope. It’s an opening for the new. The crucial question is: having both of them would really be too much? Only time will tell. As only will time tell whether all this faith in any of them has a reason to be.
A disputa eleitoral na maior potência mundial é assunto obrigatório nas conversas diárias.
Esse texto, tão bem elaborado, nos fornece subsídios quanto à disputa pelo lado dos democratas. Tenho maior empatia pela candidata Hillary Clinton.
Excelente matéria!!!
Quero que os americanos se danem.
Qualquer um que entrar no lugar do Bush já será um alívio!
Valeu?!
Boa demais essa matéria, seu blog está muito bom, gostei muito da maneira como escreve. Vou acessá-lo muitas vezes.
Siga assim, esse é o caminho.
Obama has no idea what he’s going up against chganelling the Clinton machine. His unfavorables will soar once Hillary’s surrogates get done smearing him .and given that he has yet to face any serious opposition in any of his previous runs for elected office, it’s unlikely he’ll know how to effectively respond when his back’s up against the wall. Obama is definitely a factor in this race, but Hillary is still the frontrunner, much as it pains me to say it. John Edwards has some built-in advantages, but I suspect the immigration issue will be his achille’s heel. Edwards will be walking a tightrope right away as he tries to simultaneously court favor from the industrial unions that dominate Iowa’s caucuses and the service unions that dominate Nevada’s caucuses. The latter demographic wants lawless immigration policy the former does not. And even if Edwards threads that needle, he has a broader immigration problem in that his likely support for comprehensive immigration reform directly conflicts with his primary campaign theme of reducing domestic poverty. If comprehensive immigration reform becomes a reality, poverty in America will increase .and increase substantially. Edwards will have a big problem trying to talk his way out of that double-edged sword.While there is tremendous (and legitimate) worry among Democratic voters that Hillary is unelectable nationally, her well-oiled machinery is likely to be as ruthless as George Bush’s was in 2000, all but guaranteeing her the nomination and crushing any obstacle that stands in her way. I’m already convinced that Obama will be on the receiving end of the same hit job that John McCain was in 2000, only at the hands of Hillary. However, the bloodthirsty spectacle that BushRove got away with in 2000 will not be as successful for Hillary, further staining her hands.But barring a Giuliani nomination on the Republican side that would ensure a third-party challenge from the right and put every Southern state on the table, Hillary and Obama would both be defeated in November 2008. If the Republican nominee is Romney, McCain, or any number of second or third-tier GOP contenders, I can’t see a single red state from 2004 turning blue. Iowa or Colorado could conceivably tip blue for Obama (though it wouldn’t be enough for him to win), but neither of them would tip for Hillary. Both candidates would likely lose a couple of blue states to either McCain or Romney.As for the GOP field, I think their safest bet, based on my limited knowledge of his political profile, is former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee. With George Allen and Bill Frist out of the way, he’s the only Republican in the race who seems capable of averting the GOP civil war, bridging the chasm between the values voters and the robber barons. Gingrich and Brownback would be too scary to the Greenwich, Connecticut, crowd and the party’s campaign coffers would suffer for it. If I was a Republican activist, I’d be looking pretty seriously at Huckabee right now.
As you said, “it’s only speculation”…
but the text is awesome! Congrats!